Monday, October 6, 2008

FCPO Daily: Can you see the bottom?


Noop, not at the moment. Market dived with a big gap down and violated the underline support at 1820-1860. Looks likely to continue its downward move in near term. We currently to look for the support at 1690-1670. Immediate resistance is at 1880-1934 (gap left over today).

Trader's Comment: CPO futures tumble further to hit 10% limit down and limit extended to 15%

CPO futures tumble further to hit 10% limit down and limit extended to 15%. Speculative selling and hedge selling activities emerged on potential of piling up stocks and e-CBOT soyoil prices was trading at about 220 to 240 points down. While, NYMEX crude oil prices also tumbled to crack below USD 90.00 per barrel and trading around USD 89.50 per barrel in Asian time zone. Asian regional stocks market also in sliding mood which saw Hang Seng Index down by 800 plus points Tokyo N225 seen 465 points lower while Singapore FTS tumble 128 points. All this had painted a kind of gloomy sentiment. In local front players are concern over demand as year end approaching and resulting end stocks to build up. At close, benchmark Dec08 settled RM180 lower at 1820 after trading between 1880 to 1775.

FKLI Daily: fail to hold ground


Market tumbled with double digit losses after prices failed to hold ground. Market is likely to continue downward move and eyeing the support at 961.0 followed by 930-935. Immediate upside resistance is at 1005-1009 (gap left over today.

KLSE Daily: bearish remain intact


KLSE fall to close below 1000 physiological support level had dampened further the already weak technical landscape. We continue to look for the support at 963.29. While upside resistance is at 1020-1025.

Breaking News-RTRS-Indian veg oil traders to default on deals

NEW DELHI, Oct 6 - Indian vegetable oil traders are expected to renege on more import deals due to a sharp drop in Malaysian prices, a plunge which could force the government to reimpose an import tax on crude palm oil, trade officials said.

CPO Tender Summary and Delivery Location for the year 2008

Breaking News-RTRS-Analysis-Palm oil rebound not in sight; stocks, demand drag

By Niluksi Koswanage and Naveen Thukral
KUALA LUMPUR/SINGAPORE, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Ballooning vegetable oil stocks and fast-declining interest from funds in volatile commodities may hold off a recovery in palm oil prices until next year despite its fall to a level much lower than rival soyoil.
Palm oil's discount to soy oil has more than doubled to $450 a tonne in just six months as palm has lost half its value since hitting a historic high in March, triggering market talk that palm might have gone too low too soon and would bounce back.
But analysts said rising output in Malaysia and Indonesia and bumper crops in China and India would boost supplies and reduce export demand. And with a worsening financial crisis, funds are fleeing assets that have seen wide price swings recently.

Trader's Highlight

DJI-NEW YORK, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Investors cut into a global stock market rally on Friday after the U.S. House of Representatives approved a $700 billion financial rescue plan, taking profits in a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" move.

Uncertainty still dominated market psychology after the bill passed and U.S. President George W. Bush swiftly signed it into law. The Dow Jones industrial average had its worst week since July 2002 while the Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq stock indexes recorded their worst weeks since September 2001.

The House passed the bill by a vote of 263-171 and President Bush quickly signed it, ending two weeks of haggling in Congress that roiled and captivated global markets.

In the U.S. stock market, benchmark indexes fell. The Dow industrials <.DJI> lost 157.47 points, or 1.50 percent, at 10,325.38. At its peak, the Dow was up 313 points. For the week the index lost 818 points, or 7.35 percent.

The S&P 500 Index <.SPX> fell 15.05 points, or 1.35 percent, at 1,099.23. For the week, the index dropped 9.38 percent, or 113.78 points.

The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> dropped 29.33 points, or 1.48 percent, at 1,947.39. For the week the Nasdaq lost 10.81 percent, or 235.95 points, its worst week since Sept. 2001.

NYMEX-NEW YORK, Oct 3 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures ended lower for the third straight day on Friday, with analysts saying that even with the House of Representatives' passage of a $700 billion bailout bill for the U.S. financial sector, long-term prospects for oil demand are still in question.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, November crude settled down 9 cents, or 0.1 percent, at $93.88 a barrel, trading from $91.30 to $96.03.

CBOT-SOYBEANS - November down 12 cents to $9.92 per bushel, January down 12-1/4 at $10.08-1/2.

Fell to a fresh 11-month low in the spot month on a late flurry of commodity fund selling, reversing an early rally.

Harvest pressure also weighed. Funds liquidating long positions amid concerns that a global credit squeeze and economic slowdown could limit demand for commodities.

Open interest in CBOT soybeans dropped by 5,130 contracts during Thursday's sell-off.

Informa Economics pegged U.S. 2008 soybean crop at 3.001 billion bushels, yield at 40.9 bushels per acre; USDA currently at 2.934 billion.

SOYOIL - October down 0.71 cent to 42.00 cents per lb.Turned down as soybeans eased and crude oil retreated. Continued heavy deliveries pressure front-month October.

FCPO-JAKARTA, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures finished down more than 4 percent on Friday amid concerns over rising stocks, although had cut part of their early losses after an uptick in crude prices, traders said.

The benchmark December contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange, finished down 90 ringgit, or 4.31 percent, to 2,000 ringgit ($577) a tonne, having hit a low of 1,934 ringgit a tonne in early trade.

REGIONAL EQUITIES
-SINGAPORE, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Major Southeast Asian markets
fell to fresh multi-year lows on Friday on uncertainty over the
U.S. rescue bill

Singapore <.FTSTI> fell 2.8 percent to a fresh 33-month close, to lose 4.6 percent this week, while Thai stocks <.SETI> are down 1.3 percent. Vietnam <.VNI> fell 1.8 percent on Friday, bringing the week's losses to 6.4 percent, while the Philippine index <.PSI> dropped 1.8 percent. Malaysia <.KLSE> outperformed the region to
edge 0.3 percent down this week.

DJI Weekly: remain dark


DJI had its worst week since July 2002. We continue to look for the immediate support at 10175-10156. For upside, resistance remained at 11334-11344.