Friday, November 9, 2012

Trader's highlight

DJI - NEW YORK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Thursday and could be in line for more weakness as worries about Washington's ability to find a timely solution to the "fiscal cliff" dominate investor thinking in coming weeks.

 The Dow Jones industrial average  lost 121.41 points, or 0.94 percent, to end at 12,811.32. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index  fell 17.02 points, or 1.22 percent, to 1,377.51, ending at its lowest level since Aug. 2. The Nasdaq Composite Index  dropped 41.70 points, or 1.42 percent, to close at 2,895.58.

Investors worry that if no deal is reached in Congress over some $600 billion in spending cuts and tax increases due to take effect early next year, the struggling U.S. economy could fall into recession.
 
On the data front, the U.S. government reported a better-than-expected drop in weekly first-time claims for unemployment benefits as well as a rise in U.S. exports. While that news supported stock futures early in the U.S. trading day, it was soon overshadowed by the U.S. fiscal worries.

NYMEX - NEW YORK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - U.S. crude rose on Thursday, rebounding from a nearly 5 percent plunge the previous session, though gains were limited by concerns about Europe's economy coupled with approaching tax increases and spending cuts in the United States.

CBOT Soybean - Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade fell for a second day and settled below $15 a bushel for the first time in three weeks on disappointing weekly U.S. export sales, traders said.

Trade expectations that USDA will raise its estimate of the U.S. 2012 soybean harvest in a monthly report on Friday added pressure. The average analyst estimate ahead of the report was for 2.892 billion bushels, up from USDA's October estimate of 2.860 billion.  

USDA reported export sales of U.S. soybeans in the latest week at 191,900 tonnes (186,400 for 2012/13), far below trade expectations for 600,000 to 800,000 tonnes. USDA's figures included cancellations of 545,600 tonnes from unknown destinations. 

China's state grains authority sold only about 16 percent of the nearly 400,000 tonnes of soy reserves offered during its weekly auction as crushers put off making bigger purchases after the government raised bid prices.

FCPO - SINGAPORE, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell to their lowest in more than a month on Thursday, tracking losses in global markets caused by renewed worries that economic woes in the United States and Europe could hurt commodity demand.

Sentiment was also dented by a gloomy outlook for Europe after the European Commission said the euro zone economy would barely grow next year.

"There is a lot of uncertainty after the U.S. election, you have all these problems in Europe, and then there's also the fiscal cliff," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.

"Local sentiment for palm is also bearish, because of high stocks. I don't think palm has any support until you can see very strong demand followed by a drawdown in stocks, then the market will stabilise."

Palm oil prices must stay at around 2,200 ringgit a tonne for two months in order to stimulate demand for the edible oil and reduce high stock levels, leading industry analyst Dorab Mistry said at a conference in China on Thursday. 

Stock levels in Malaysia, the world's No.2 palm oil producer, may reach a new record at 2.67 million tonnes in October, a Reuters survey showed on Tuesday.

Regional Equity - BANGKOK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Major Southeast Asian stock markets fell on Thursday, with Singapore sliding to a two-month closing low and Malaysia extending losses to six-week lows, as worries about a looming budget crisis in the United States dented global sentiment.

Plantation stocks fell along with weaker Malaysian palm oil futures after broker Macquarie Research downgraded the plantation sector to 'underweight', reflecting weaker prospects for crude palm oil prices.
  



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