Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Trader's highlight

DJI - NEW YORK, April 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 index ended at an all-time high on Monday as growth-oriented stocks, including energy and technology, lead the way to the index's sixth rise in the past seven sessions.

Stronger-than-expected housing data also boosted the market, as did Italy's formation of a new government, ending months of uncertainty and raising hopes for new policies to promote growth in the euro zone's third-largest economy.

Pressure has grown on the European Central Bank to lower interest rates with the euro zone mired in recession. Money market traders are evenly split on whether the ECB will cut rates at its meeting on Thursday, according to a Reuters poll.

Wall Street followed European stocks higher as Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta urged a focus on growth policies and away from austerity measures in his inaugural speech.

"After the election there was a lot of uncertainty about whether Italy could form a government, so now there is not only a great deal of relief over that, but also expectations for additional monetary policies from the ECB," said Alec Young, global equity strategist at S&P Equity Research in New York.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 106.20 points, or 0.72 percent, at 14,818.75. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 11.37 points, or 0.72 percent, at 1,593.61. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 27.76 points, or 0.85 percent, at 3,307.02.

The U.S. Federal Reserve will also meet this week for a two-day session beginning on Tuesday. The Fed is expected to maintain its stimulus policy. Data on Monday showing muted inflation gave the Fed room for accommodative measures.


Oils - NEW YORK, April 29 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Monday amid hope of further stimulus on both sides of the Atlantic, with U.S. crude leading gains amid signs of improving demand and growing exports.

Equities rallied and the dollar faltered, further fuelling oil gains as traders looked ahead to key central bank meetings. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its quantitative easing program when it meets this week, and the European Central Bank (ECB) is seen cutting interest rates on Thursday.

"We'll see if the measures are enough to stimulate economic growth," said Gene McGillian, an analyst with Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. "If not, the market's headed back down again."

New York Mercantile Exchange June crude futures ended the day $1.50 per barrel higher at $94.50, aided by a break above the 40-day moving average on a continuation chart.

Brent crude oil futures, the international benchmark, settled 65 cents higher at $103.81 per barrel, after hitting a low of $102.57.


CBOT Soybean - Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures closed higher on Monday on tight stocks of soy, slow farmer selling, strong cash markets and on spillover buying from soaring corn, traders said.

·         Support also stemmed from the outside markets including    higher stock markets, a weak dollar, gains in crude oil and     higher gold.
 
·         Expectations for no soybean or soymeal to be delivered on   the May contract on Tuesday and lighter-than-usual amounts of  soyoil also lent support. Tuesday is first notice day for deliveries on the May 2013 futures contracts. 
 
·         Spot basis bids for soybeans were mostly steady to higher  in the Midwest on Monday, bolstered by seasonally light offerings from farmers and commercial elevators, grain buyers   said. 
 
·         Soy bids continued to rise sharply at processors and elevators, with bids jumping 10 cents to the highest level since   September 2009, at a crushing plant in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, as  supplies of the oilseed dwindled due to strong soymeal demand.
 
·         Spot truck and rail cash basis offers for soymeal kept   climbing on Monday due to tight stocks of soybeans, a lack of  farmer selling and near relentless demand for meal, dealers  said.

·         Drier and warmer weather early this week will allow U.S.  farmers to plant corn, which has been delayed by wet weather,   but another round of showers is expected beginning near midweek,   an agricultural meteorologist said on Monday. 
 
·         Expected hot and dry weather in May will increase risks to   the grain crop in Russia, which needs a good harvest after last  year's drought, data from the state weather forecaster showed on   Monday. 
 
·         A sharp increase in air temperatures combined with a lack of rain could damage Ukraine's spring and winter grain crops  sown for the 2013 harvest, a senior weather forecaster said on     Monday. 
 
·         Malaysian palm oil futures lost ground on Monday after four straight sessions of gains, although traders remained cautious ahead of export data that could provide further trading cues. 


BMD CPO - SINGAPORE, April 29 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures lost ground on Monday after four straight sessions of gains, although traders remained cautious ahead of export data that could provide further trading cues.

The edible oil posted its first weekly gain out of five last week, supported by rising Malaysian exports for the first 25 days of the month thanks to stronger demand from India, Europe and the United States.

The gains prompted some profit-taking as the market lacked fresh stimulus, with the Chinese soybean oil market closed for holiday and ahead of Malaysia's palm export data for the full month due on Tuesday.

"The market is a bit quiet today as the Dalian markets were closed. There's also exports data due on Tuesday so traders are waiting for further direction on stocks," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur.

The benchmark July contract  on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 1.7 percent to close at 2,277 ringgit ($751) per tonne. Prices touched 2,334 ringgit on Friday, the highest since April 12.

Total traded volumes were thin at 26,636 lots of 25 tonnes each, compared to the average 35,000 lots.

Investors are pinning their hopes on healthy exports and lacklustre production to help cut stockpiles in Malaysia, which eased from February's 2.43 million tonnes to 2.17 million tonnes last month.

Lower palm oil inventory level could provide support for palm oil prices, which have lost 6.6 percent so far this year. Leading analyst Dorab Mistry forecast in March that prices could rise to 2,400 to 2,700 ringgit by the end of May, as weaker production speeds a fall in stockpiles.

In other markets, Brent crude oil slipped to $103 per barrel on Monday as an uncertain outlook for growth in the world's two largest oil consumers, the United States and China, encouraged commodities markets to consolidate.

In vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for July delivery fell 0.6 percent in late Asian trading. The Dalian Commodities Exchange is closed for Labour Day and will only resume trading on Thursday.