Friday, July 27, 2012

Trader's Highlight

DJI- NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks rode a wave of hope inspired by comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi on Thursday, ignoring mixed corporate results to focus on the strongest signal yet of the ECB's intentions to protect the euro zone.

Europe's debt woes have taken a toll on stocks at times during the past two years and more recently have manifested themselves in lackluster corporate results. The most recent disappointments came from United Technologies and Dow Chemical, which blamed overseas demand for weak results.

Draghi hinted the ECB would target high sovereign bond yields, a measure the ECB has been reluctant to take in the past. Policymakers have made similar statements about saving the euro before, but if these remarks result in decisive action in European bond markets, it could spur a sizable rally in stocks.

"It's certainly a vote of confidence," said Kathy Karlic, chief client officer at Wilmington Trust Investment Advisors in Buffalo, New York, which has $20 billion in assets under management.

"The wall of worry for the euro zone has always been there, but another round of liquidity is very positive." Shares in sectors more sensitive to risks in Europe and economic demand, such as energy-related stocks and industrials, were among the day's best performers, with the S&P 500 energy index up 2.7 percent.

Worries about Europe have also pressured earnings forecasts, with third-quarter S&P 500 earnings now seen falling for a year-over-year decline.

Diversified manufacturer 3M, whose stock rose 2.1 percent to $90.59 after its results beat estimates, helped boost the Dow and was among the brighter spots of the earnings season.

Zynga  shares ended down 37.5 percent at $3.17 after hitting an all-time low, a day after the company slashed its profit outlook after fading enthusiasm for its games on Facebook.

After the closing bell, shares of Facebook tumbled 11 percent to $23.87 after reporting its first quarterly results since Facebook's market debut. During the regular sessions its shares lost 8.5 percent.

Amazon.com shares were down 0.5 percent at $218.88 after the close following the release of its results. The online retailer forecast third-quarter revenue that lagged Wall Street's projections.

During the regular session, shares of Sprint Nextel Corp jumped 20.2 percent to $4.05 after the company posted earnings.

Sales performance this reporting period has lagged earnings. With results in from about half of the S&P 500 companies, 65 percent have beaten analyst earnings estimates but just 41 percent have beaten on revenue, Thomson Reuters data showed.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 211.88 points, or 1.67 percent, at 12,887.93. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index  was up 22.13 points, or 1.65 percent, at 1,360.02. The Nasdaq Composite Index  was up 39.01 points, or 1.37 percent, at 2,893.25.

Shares of United Technologies ended up 0.4 percent at $72.93 while shares of Dow Chemical dropped 3.6 percent to $29.18.

The S&P 500 ended above the technically important 1,333 level, and a sustained move above that level is seen as bullish. The level marks a convergence of several technical factors, including the index's 50-day moving average, and has served as support for stocks.

In economic news, the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week near a four-year low, although the figures have been volatile due to summer factory shutdowns. Durable goods orders for June were better than expected, but a slip in pending home sales underscored the fragility of the economy. 

Volume was 7.44 billion shares on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and Amex, compared with the year-to-date daily average of 6.74 billion shares.

Advancers beat decliners on the NYSE by about 11 to 4 and on the Nasdaq by about 2 to 1.


NYMEX- NEW YORK,NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - U.S. crude futures rose for a third straight day on Thursday after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the ECB was ready to do whatever was necessary within its mandate to avoid a euro zone collapse, and on supportive U.S. jobless claims data.


CBOT SOYBEAN- Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures declined on some improvement in crop weather prospects in the drought-stricken U.S. Midwest and on profit-taking.

* Little change was noted in midday weather updates indicating drought stress on U.S. corn and soybean crops is likely to continue for at least the next couple of weeks, an agricultural meteorologist said on Thursday.
  • "There are only minor changes, a little drier in Indiana and Ohio for the next couple of days, a little more rain for Illinois Sunday and Monday," said Andy Karst, meteorologist for World Weather Inc.
  • The extended weather outlook for the first week of August indicated a stronger high-pressure ridge over the U.S. Plains but there could "still be some rain," he said. "It looks drier in Iowa, Illinois and Indiana and a little wetter in the north from August 7-10," Karst said.
  • The most extensive drought in five decades intensified this week across the U.S. Midwest and Plains states that produce most of the country's corn, soybeans and livestock, a report from climate experts showed on Thursday.
  • USDA's weekly export sales report showed net export sales of U.S. soybeans last week at 710,500 tonnes, above estimates for 350,000 to 550,000 tonnes.
  • August is above all key moving averages. The nine-day RSI is at 58.


FCPO- SINGAPORE,SINGAPORE, July 26 (Reuters) - Malaysian crude palm oil fell to its lowest in more than five weeks on Thursday, as investors turned more bearish on forecasts for rain in parts of the U.S. Midwest that could bring some relief to the drought-hit soy crop.

A larger supply of soybeans to be crushed into vegetable oil could narrow spreads between soybean oil and palm oil and draw demand away from the tropical oil.

Market players also priced in weaker Malaysian exports for the July 1-25 period after cargo surveyors reported declines from a month ago, reinforcing views that stock levels could climb after falling to a 14-month low in June.

"There is not enough push to go up after some profit bookings yesterday, so the market is down again today," said a Singapore-based trader with a foreign commodities brokerage. "It looks like the trend is still bearish."

Benchmark October palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 2.3 percent to close at 2,882 ringgit ($909) per tonne. Prices earlier touched 2,880 ringgit, the lowest level since June 18.

Traded volume picked up after the midday break to 27,567 lots of 25 tonnes each, higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
Technicals were bearish, as palm oil is biased to fall to 2,838 ringgit, Reuters market analyst Wang Tao said, based on a wave pattern and retracement analysis.

Malaysia's palm oil exports continued to show weakness from a month ago, falling 14.3 percent and 18.6 percent, according to cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale de Surveillance respectively. 

Slowing exports coupled with better production expected in Malaysia could boost palm oil stock levels, taking some pressure off tightening global oilseed supplies.

Market players are also looking out for a return of the El Nino weather pattern to Southeast Asia as the hot and dry weather could hurt palm oil output from top producers Indonesia and Malaysia, providing upside for palm oil prices.
Oil prices dropped below $104 a barrel on Thursday, squeezed by a stronger dollar as disappointing corporate earnings contributed to a gloomy outlook for demand growth.

Other vegetable oil markets similarly suffered declines on U.S. wet weather forecasts.


REGIONAL EQUITY- BANGKOK, July 26 (Reuters) - Major Southeast Asian stock markets mostly closed lower on Thursday, led down by commodity-related stocks as a gloomy outlook for demand growth and the euro zone's spreading debt crisis hit oil prices.

Thailand's benchmark SET index fell 1.3 percent to 1,172.92. Malaysian shares ended down 0.7 percent to 1,623.91.
The Philippine index posted a modest 0.18 percent loss. Singapore's Straits Times index bucked the trend, advancing 0.5 percent.