Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Trader's highlight

NYMEX Crude Oil - SINGAPORE, Jan 21 (Reuters) - U.S. crude slipped towards $95 per barrel on Monday, on track for its first fall in four sessions, after a surprise drop in U.S. consumer sentiment dented the outlook for demand in the world's biggest oil user.

FCPO - SINGAPORE, Jan 21 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures edged up on Monday, supported by dry weather concerns in South America's soy-producing regions although gains were limited by the latest cargo surveyor data pointing to weaker exports of the tropical oil.

A turn to dry weather in Argentina and in southern Brazil may lead to a lower supply of soybeans and soybean oil, shifting some demand to competing palm oil that is trading at a hefty discount of above $300.
But price upside could be limited as exports continued to fall, easing 17.3 percent for the first 20 days of the month to 830,830 tonnes from 1,004,159 tonnes a month ago, cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services said on Monday.

Another cargo, surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance, reported a 20 percent decline to 813,778 tonnes for the same period.

"The market is holding on South American weather worries and some chart-based buying interest," said a trader with a local commodities brokerage in Malaysia. "But at the same time exports are lower and end-stocks are building up."

At the close, the benchmark March contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained 0.8 percent to 2,420 ringgit ($798) per tonne.

Total traded volume stood at 25,074 lots of 25 tonnes each, a tad higher than the usual 25,000 lots.

Malaysia's weather office issued a heavy rain advisory on Monday, saying intermittent rain may cause floods over low-lying areas that could disrupt production in key palm producing states of Pahang and Johor.

A lower output may help ease Malaysian palm oil stocks, currently at a record-high 2.63 million tonnes, although traders point out that exports are also lower.

Market participants will also be looking out for the impact of India's latest crude edible oils import duty of 2.5 percent which is aimed at curbing imports and protecting local refiners.

Regional equities - BANGKOK, Jan 21 (Reuters) - Malaysia's main index fell 2.4 percent on Monday, its biggest one-day fall since September 2011, as concerns about the country's upcoming election triggered selling in recent gainers while flood-hit Indonesia erased earlier gains to fall.

Malaysia's Kuala Lumpur Composite index closed at 1,635.63, its lowest since Dec. 10, led down by a 5 percent drop in telecommunications operator Axiata Group Bhd and a 4 percent loss in Digi.Com Bhd

The selloff took its year-to-date loss to 3.2 percent, one of Asia's worst performing markets and sliding near an oversold mark, with the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) at 31.87, the lowest in the region.

Retail investors sold shares worth a net $7.27 million while foreign investors sold a net $331,900, countering a net buying of $7.87 million by local institutions, the Malaysian bourse said.

Jakarta's Composite Index was down 0.6 percent at 4,439.97 after a record close of 4,465.48 on Friday. Major floods which hit Jakarta have raised concerns of a rise in inflation.

"Given a lingering poor market sentiment, the one-off inflation could post a near-term market risk," Deutsche Bank Markets Research said in a report.

Elsewhere in the region, the Philippine indexwas up 0.53 percent at 6,171.70, setting a record finish for a ninth time so far in January. Thai SET index edged up 0.4 percent at 1,440.48, a 17-1/2 year closing high.

The Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange's VN Index fell for a third session on Monday, closing down 1.4 percent at 447.79, the lowest close in almost two weeks. Investors took profits in recent gainers such as financials.