Wednesday, June 6, 2012

RTRS-INDONESIA MAY GIVE GREATER PRIORITY TO ASIA, E.EUROPEAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN PALM OIL BUYERS DUE TO POSSIBLE ENVIRONMENTAL RULES IN EUROPE AND US -ASSOCIATION

JAKARTA, June 5 (Reuters) - Indonesia may give greater priority to Asian, Eastern European and Middle Eastern palm oil buyers because of possible new environmental regulations in the United States and Europe, the Indonesian palm oil association (Gapki) said on Tuesday.

"We threat (threaten) EU and US to move our product to other regions because of too many non-tariff barriers," said Gapki official Tofan Mahdi.

The Southeast Asian palm oil industry failed in late January to meet greenhouse gas saving standards to qualify for the U.S. renewable fuels programme.
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) said palm oil converted into biofuels in Indonesia and Malaysia cut up to 17 percent of climate warming emissions, falling short of a 20 percent requirement to enter the world's largest energy market.

Gapki officials fear U.S. efforts to limit palm oil's uses based on environmental concerns could spread to Europe.

RTRS-UPDATE 2-Brazil gov't cuts soy estimate, raises corn view

SAO PAULO, June 5 (Reuters) - Brazil's government trimmed its 2011/12 soybean crop estimate on Tuesday after drought ravaged output in the world's second biggest producer this season, but raised its forecast of corn output to a record.

U.S. soybean futures rose after Brazil's food supply agency Conab cut its production forecast and U.S. crop ratings disappointed. [ID:nL3E8H553C]

Brazil's soy crop that finished harvest in May is now estimated at 66.37 million tonnes, after drought erased about 10 million tonnes from crop's potential, Conab data showed. The latest output number is down slightly from last month's estimate of 66.68 million tonnes.

Carry-over stocks of soybeans are set to drop to 1 million tonnes, Conab estimates, their lowest since 2008/09 and down about 65 percent from last year. No major revisions to the soy crop are expected in the coming months. Brazil harvested a record 75.3 million tonnes the year before.

Despite the drought, corn production jumped in Conab's ninth forecast of the grain crop to a record 67.79 million tonnes from the 65.90 million projected a month ago. It is the first time in over a decade that Brazil will harvest less soy than corn, which is mostly consumed by the local pork and poultry industry.

Producers have shifted more of their corn planting to the winter crop recently. This winter, or second crop, that is planted from January to March leapt 53 percent from last year to 32.9 million tonnes. The winter crop will be harvested in the coming weeks.

RTRS-Oil World sees US soy exports up 40 pct in 2012/13

AMSTERDAM, June 5 (Reuters) - US soybean exports will increase by nearly 40 percent from September 2012 to February 2013 to compensate for the shortfall in the South American crop which has been hit by drought, German-based analyst Oil World said on Tuesday.

"Insufficient South American export supplies of soybean, soymeal and oil will shift world demand to US origin in Sept-Feb 2012/2013," Oil World said.

"Such a huge shift has not been experienced before."

Oil World said that US soybean exports will reach 33.5 million tonnes in the first half of the US crop season, up 9.3 million tonnes or 39 percent from a year earlier.

Total world exports of soybeans in the same period will reach 43.4 million tonnes, Oil World said.

It said that exports from leading South American producers -- Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay - are expected to decline by 9 million tonnes in the same period.

"With our current us soybean crop estimate of 88.7 million tonnes, we consider it necessary that total US soybean stocks will be reduced to a multi year low of only 31.5 million tonnes as of end of February 2013," Oil World said.

"This is an unusually low inventory and sharply down from 38.7 million tonnes from a year earlier."

Oil World said that US crushings are likely to be boosted in response to reduced processing in South America and that it will probably reach 25.5 million tonnes in the period from September 2012 to February 2013.

Trader's Highlight

DJI- NEW YORK, June 5 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, recovering some ground from last week's selloff, as data showing the vast U.S. services sector improved in May outweighed investor angst about the euro zone's fiscal crisis.

Financial stocks ranked among the best performers. The S&P 500 financial sector index <.GSPF> gained 1.7 percent, significantly outperforming other sectors.

Bank of America shares shot up 2.9 percent to $7.10 and JPMorgan added 3.2 percent to $31.98. The financial sector index, however, has lost 13 percent since the start of May.

But the rebound was expected to be temporary as market sentiment remained bearish in the face of the euro zone's debt crisis and a slew of recent data that showed the world's largest economy was experiencing slower-than-expected growth.

The market could also be setting itself up for disappointment, with the European Central Bank meeting on
Wednesday and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testifying on the economy before a congressional committee on Thursday.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 26.49 points, or 0.22 percent, at 12,127.95. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was up 7.32 points, or 0.57 percent, at 1,285.50. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was up 18.10 points, or 0.66 percent, at 2,778.11.

NYMEX- NEW YORK, June 5 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures rose for a second straight day on Tuesday as the vital U.S. service sector grew faster than expected in May, the ISM industry report showed - a small, bright lining that followed a spate of gloomy economic reports.

Gains were limited, however, as euro zone debt worries deepened after Spain said credit markets were cutting off the country. That pulled the euro lower against the dollar, deterring investors from making more bullish bets on oil futures.

Ahead of weekly inventory reports, U.S. crude stockpiles were forecast 500,000 barrels lower last week, a Reuters poll of analysts showed. If confirmed, the drawdown will snap 10 weeks of continuous increase.

Distillate stocks were expected to show a 300,000 barrel increase while gasoline stocks were seen likely up 700,000 barrels. Refinery utilization was predicted to have risen 0.6 percentage point.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude for July delivery settled at $84.29 a barrel, rising 31 cents, or 0.37 percent, after trading between $83.31 and $84.92.

CBOT SOYBEAN- Chicago Board of Trade July corn futures were up 1/2 cent at $5.68-1/2 at the 1:15 p.m. CDT (1815 GMT) close of pit trade Tuesday on tight stocks. December dropped 14-3/4 cents at $5.09 on stable condition ratings for the U.S. crop.

U.S. corn ratings held steady, topping analysts' expectations, despite continued dry weather in southern areas of the Corn Belt, U.S. Agriculture Department data released on Monday showed.

Dry and mild weather is expected to continue in the U.S. Midwest corn and soybean growing region for at least 5 days with hotter temperatures likely by the weekend.

"The next 5 days will be dry and some heat by the weekend in the 80s (degrees Fahrenheit) to 90s F but it will be brief and cool down again next week," said Kyle Tapley, meteorologist for MDA EarthSat Weather.

FCPO- SINGAPORE, June 5 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rebounded on Tuesday, tracking a recovery in overseas markets, as investors looked to policymakers for new action to tackle the euro zone's debt crisis.

Palm oil closed at its lowest level in 2012 the previous day, reflecting the bearish sentiment seen in a global sell-down of most commodities including, crude oil and soybean oil. But investors took a more optimistic stance on Tuesday ahead of a conference call of the Group of Seven's finance chiefs that could produce some concrete measures to solve the crisis.

"The market is a bit stronger today, basically on short covering and retracement after the previous day's sharp fall," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.

"The palm oil market is adjusting to external factors. It will still be volatile until the Greek election."

Benchmark August palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained 0.4 percent to close at 2,966 ringgit ($927) per tonne. Prices touched a low of 2,925 ringgit on Monday, their lowest since Nov 2, 2011.

Traded volumes stood at 33,420 lots of 25 tonnes each, higher than the usual 25,000 lots.

REGIONAL EQUITY- BANGKOK, June 5 (Reuters) - Thai stocks fell to their lowest level in four months on Tuesday as growing political tension prompted broad based selling, but other Southeast Asian share markets pushed higher, helped by hopes for more action on the euro zone debt crisis.

Thailand's benchmark SET index <.SETI> fell 1.4 percent to 1,099.15, the lowest close since Feb 7, led by losses in big caps such as Siam Cement Pcl and Bangkok Bank Pcl .

Thai politics has heated up after anti-government yellow-shirted People's Alliance for Democracy activists blockaded parliament last week and forced the government to postpone debate on a national reconciliation bill.

Brokers said investors could still stick to defensive stocks such as food and retail counters, which have unusually joined the rout.

"While both issues could lead to rising political confrontation in coming months, it would not cause a political
U-turn into the chaos seen over the past years in our view," said Suchart Techaposai, head of Thailand Country Research in a report.

"We view any market correction relating to the matter as an opportunity to buy into the ongoing private investment up-cycle led by FDI and Thai companies intending to improve productivity and lower costs."