Thursday, March 21, 2013

INDONESIA MAY KEEP PALM OIL EXPORT TAX AT 10.5% IN APRIL


March 21 (Bloomberg) -- Base price for crude palm oil export may be raised to $787/t in April from $782 in March, Steaven Halim, an official at Indonesian Palm Oil Association, says in e-mail response to Bloomberg.


* NOTE: Trade Ministry may announce April tax rate and base price next week

Bloomberg - Soybeans Advance to One-Week High on Shipment Delays in Brazil

Soybeans climbed for a second day to the highest level in almost a week on speculation that demand for U.S supplies will increase because of shipping delays in Brazil, set to be the biggest exporter this year.

The contract for delivery in May gained as much as 0.9 percent to $14.33 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade, the highest most-active price since March 15. Futures were at $14.31 by 1:26 p.m. Singapore time, up 5.9 percent from an almost seven-month low on Jan. 11.

Grains at Paranagua Port, Brazil’s largest soybeans and corn exports hub, were loaded at half the normal pace this month as rains disrupted operations, the port said yesterday. Loading was halted for 27 days this year because of rain and 73 ships were waiting to load grains and soybeans, it said in a report.


Read all : http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-21/soybeans-advance-to-one-week-high-on-shipment-delays-in-brazil.html

Bloomberg - Asian Stocks Advance, Led by Japan; Kiwi Increases as Oil Falls


March 21 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rose, with the Topix Index climbing to the highest since 2008, as the Federal Reserve signaled no end to its record stimulus and investors speculated Japan’s new central bank governor will announce “bold” easing. 


New Zealand’s dollar climbed, while oil slid. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.3 percent as of 9:43 a.m. in Tokyo. The Topix increased 1.2 percent after a public holiday. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures were little changed after the gauge yesterday snapped a three-day losing streak. 


New Zealand’s kiwi strengthened 0.4 percent against the dollar as the economy grew at the fastest pace in three years. 


Oil for May delivery retreated after the biggest advance in two weeks. The European Central Bank will probably delay a decision on continued support for Cyprus’s banks, two people familiar with the deliberations said yesterday. 


Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the Federal Reserve won’t reduce its record monetary stimulus until unemployment drops further. Japan’s new central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda may announce a policy shift today at his first press conference, the Nikkei reported without attribution.
“If the Bank of Japan give details today such as announcing an increase of risk asset purchases, then the market is going to be very impressed,” said Mitsushige Akino, chief fund manager at Ichiyoshi Investment Management Co. in Tokyo.

“The Federal Reserve Bank said that it will keep easing while lifting Its economic outlook, which is a great situation for the stock market.”
New Zealand’s economy grew at the fastest pace in three years led by retailing and the rebuilding of earthquake-damaged Christchurch city. Gross domestic product rose 1.5 percent in the three months ended Dec. 31 from the previous quarter, exceeding the 0.9 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 10 economists.

The kiwi traded for 82.57 cents. Japan’s exports dropped 2.9 percent in February from a year earlier, the Finance Ministry said in Tokyo today, exceeding an estimate for a 1.7 percent decrease.

Bloomberg - Oil Production in U.S. to Top Imports for First Time Since 1995

March 20 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. crude oil production in the fourth quarter will exceed imports for the first time since 1995, as booming fields in North Dakota and Texas put the nation on track to surpass a quarter-century output record. The U.S. Energy Information Administration, the research arm of the Energy Department, said domestic crude production will be 2 million barrels a day higher than imports at the end of 2014, as oil from outside the U.S. is forecast to drop late in that year.

“This projected change is primarily because of rising domestic crude oil production, particularly from shale and other tight rock formations in North Dakota and Texas,” the agency said in a “Today in Energy” note posted on its website. In global markets today, West Texas Intermediate oil rose after its steepest plunge in a month. Brent futures rebounded from their lowest level since December. U.S. crude stockpiles fell 413,000 barrels last week, the American Petroleum Institute said yesterday.

RTRS - Cyprus lawmakers reject bank tax; bailout in disarray


NICOSIA, March 20 (Reuters) - Cyprus overwhelmingly rejected a proposed levy on bank deposits as a condition for a European bailout on Tuesday, throwing international efforts to rescue the latest casualty of the euro zone debt crisis into disarray.

The vote in the tiny legislature was a stunning setback for the 17-nation currency bloc, angering European partners and raising fears the crisis could spread; lawmakers in Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Italy have all accepted austerity measures over the last three years to secure European aid.

With hundreds of demonstrators outside the parliament chanting "They're drinking our blood", the ruling party abstained and 36 other lawmakers voted unanimously to reject the bill, bringing the Mediterranean island, one of the smallest European states, to the brink of financial meltdown.

Finance Minister Michael Sarris had already headed to Moscow, amid speculation Russia could offer assistance given the high level of Russian deposits in Cypriot banks. President Nicos Anastasiades, barely a month in office, spoke by phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin after the vote.

Anastasiades was due to meet party leaders at 9 a.m. (0700 GMT) on Wednesday to explore a way forward.

"The voice of the people was heard," 65-year-old pensioner Andreas Miltiadou said among a crowd of demonstrators jubilant after the vote.

EU countries had warned they would withhold 10 billion euros ($13 billion) in bailout loans unless depositors in Cyprus, including small savers, shared the cost of the rescue, an unprecedented step in the stubborn debt crisis.

The European Central Bank had threatened to end emergency lending assistance for teetering Cypriot banks, which were hard hit by the financial crisis in neighbouring Greece.

The island's partners barely disguised their anger.

Euro zone paymaster Germany, facing an election this year and increasingly frustrated with the mounting cost of bailing out its southern partners, said Cyprus had no one to blame but itself for the gravity of the situation.

DEBTS TOO HIGH
"Cyprus requested an aid programme," German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told ZDF television. "For an aid programme we need a calculable way for Cyprus to be able to return to the financial markets. For that, Cyprus's debts are too high."

Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, who chairs the Eurogroup of finance ministers, said the bailout offer still stood providing the conditions were met. European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny called on Cyprus to show "discipline and the readiness to act rationally."

But it was Europe's demand at the weekend that Cyprus break with previous EU practice and impose a levy on bank accounts that led outraged Cypriots to empty bank cash machines and unsettled financial markets.

An important issue in negotiations has been the high level of deposits held in the island's banks by non-EU citizens and companies, notably from Russia, where Cyprus has established itself as a major provider of offshore financial services.

BACKLASH
The EU and International Monetary Fund are demanding Cyprus raise 5.8 billion euros from bank depositors to secure the bailout it needs to rescue its financial sector. They say a bailout of more than 10 billion euros would tip Cyprus's debt level into unmanageable territory for its 1.1 million people.

But lawmakers said the levy on deposits crossed a red line.

"You can't take a 10,000-metre jump without a parachute. And that's what they're asking of us," said George Perdikis of the Greens Party.

International market reaction has been muted so far but that might change.

While Brussels has emphasised that the measure was a one-off for a country that accounts for just 0.2 percent of European output, fears have grown that savers in other, larger European countries might be spurred to withdraw funds.

Dijsselbloem, the Eurogroup chair, said there would be no need to impose a levy in any of the 16 other euro countries.

Some Cypriots hope they can get aid from Russia, which has bailed out Cyprus in the past. Many Russians keep their money in Cyprus and operate businesses from there.

Russian authorities have denied that the Kremlin might offer more money, possibly in return for a future stake in Cyprus's large but as yet undeveloped offshore gas reserves, which have raised the island's strategic importance.

An influx of Russian money and influence since the collapse of the Soviet Union has led some Brussels officials to complain privately that Cyprus acts at times as a "Trojan donkey" for Moscow inside the European Union since it joined in 2004.

Banks in Cyprus are to remain shut on Wednesday to avoid a bank run. The island's stock exchange will also be closed on Wednesday. 

Trader's highlight


DJI - NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks climbed on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 snapping a three-day losing streak as the Federal Reserve reassured investors that it would keep supporting the economy.

The housing sector's stocks ranked among the best performers after Lennar Corp reported a first-quarter profit well above analysts' expectations as lower interest rates and rising rents increased home sales.

The Dow hit an intraday record high but fell short of closing at another record. The view that the Fed will keep interest rates at record lows for years has helped drive the rally in stocks this year, along with signs of a strengthening U.S. recovery.

In its statement, the Fed said it would stick to its $85 billion monthly bond-buying stimulus, citing still high unemployment levels, but said it would take into account the possible risks of its policies.

The statement, and comments by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, came as the market grapples with banking woes in Cyprus, the most recent flare-up in the euro-zone debt crisis.

"It is amazing what a Fed on your side really brings for this market... It really can wipe out a lot of uncertainty and a lot of bad news," said Burt White, managing director and chief investment officer of LPL Financial in Boston.

Cypriot leaders held crisis talks on Wednesday to avoid a financial meltdown a day after the country's parliament rejected a tax on bank deposits, which had been proposed over the weekend by European Union officials.

Investors worry that a collapse of the banking system in Cyprus will tighten credit across Europe and become another hurdle in the region's bumpy road out of economic crisis.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 55.91 points, or 0.39 percent, to end at 14,511.73, after rising as high as 14,546.82, an intraday record.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 10.37 points, or 0.67 percent, to finish at 1,558.71. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 25.09 points, or 0.78 percent, to close at 3,254.19.

"You might have thought the markets would do horribly after the Cyprus parliament vote, but I think that was a good step forward," said Cam Albright, director of asset allocation for Wilmington Trust Investment Advisors in Wilmington, Delaware.


Brent and Crude Oil - NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - Brent crude oil rose above $108 a barrel on Wednesday, recovering from a three-month low, after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled it would continue its stimulus programs and on optimism that European policymakers can keep a debt crisis in Cyprus from spreading.

The Federal Reserve wrapped up a two-day meeting on Wednesday by pressing forward with its aggressive efforts to stimulate the U.S. economy, saying it would take into account risks posed by its policies but also how much progress it was making lowering unemployment.

Cyprus was seeking a new loan from Russia to avert a financial meltdown, after the island's parliament rejected the terms of a European Union bailout, raising the risk of default and a bank crash.

Brent crude for May rose $1.27 to settle at $108.72 a barrel. It had dropped nearly 2 percent to a three-month low on Tuesday. U.S. crude for April rose 80 cents to $92.96 per barrel.

"Clearly, market players anticipate that an alternative solution will be found for Cyprus," said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank. "Nonetheless, the uncertainty surrounding this issue is likely to continue to keep oil prices in check in the short run."

Oil prices also rose on Wednesday in the hours after the U.S. Energy Information Administration said crude stocks fell by 1.3 million barrels last week, rather than the 2.0 million-barrel increase analysts had expected. The report showed a drop in U.S. crude imports.

"We saw a drawdown in crude, which was a little surprise and would be supportive (for oil prices)," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.

The EIA report also showed declines in U.S. gasoline and distillate fuel stocks, although these were smaller than analysts expected.

On the price charts, Brent faces its first upward resistance point at $108.50, said Olivier Jakob, oil analyst at Petromatrix. Support levels to watch on Wednesday are $107.50 and then 107.00, he said.

The uncertainty about Cyprus's finances has revived concern about the stability of the euro zone and of the downside risks to global economic growth.

The U.S. dollar weakened by 0.3 percent on Wednesday against a basket of foreign currencies A weaker dollar tends to support the price of oil and other dollar-denominated commodities.


CBOT Soybean March 20 (Reuters) - Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade ended higher, halting a six-session decline on technical buying and concerns about tight U.S. supplies, traders said.

* Nearby contracts led the gains, with May and July soybeans rising to intraday highs toward the closing bell.

·         Nearbys supported by ongoing concerns about logistics  problems in Brazil that have slowed the movement of a likely  record-large soy harvest into marketing channels.
 
·         Firm U.S. cash market lends support; soybean basis bids firmed at several Midwest processing sites. 

·         Gains in deferred contracts were limited by private estimates for increased U.S. soybean plantings in 2013. Crop forecaster Lanworth projected 2013 seedings at a record-large   81.3 million acres.

·         May soybeans gained against July on spreads for a second session, after losing ground for the previous five  sessions.

·         Lanworth raised its soybean production forecasts for Argentina to 50.5 million tonnes from 49.4 million, and Brazil  to 81.1 million tonnes from 80.8 million.
 
·         Malaysian palm oil futures rose to the highest level in  more than a week on higher export demand, although gains were curbed after Cyprus's rejection of a proposed bailout plan led to worries of a default. 


BMD CPO - SINGAPORE, March 20 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rose to the highest in more than a week on Wednesday on higher export demand, although gains were curbed after Cyprus's rejection of a proposed bailout plan led to worries of a default.

Cyprus's parliament voted against assessing a levy on bank deposits as a condition for a European bailout on Tuesday, throwing international efforts to save the latest casualty of the euro zone debt crisis into disarray.

But palm prices were lifted by Malaysian palm oil exports that rose 11 percent for the March 1-20 period to 927,665 tonnes, up from 835,612 tonnes a month ago, according to cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services.

Another cargo surveyor, Societe Generale de Surveillance, reported a 14 percent increase for the same period. 

"If exports continue at this rate, we will see a figure of around 1.4-1.5 million tonnes for the full month," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia. "Stocks will come down even more and this trend may continue into April."

The benchmark June contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained 1.1 percent to 2,441 ringgit ($782) per tonne, below its intraday high at 2,448 ringgit, a level last seen a week ago on March 11.

Total traded volume stood at 48,190 lots of 25 tonnes each, almost twice the usual 25,000 lots.

Refined palm olein exports nearly doubled in the March 1-20 period, offsetting a decline in crude palm oil shipments and leading to higher overall exports, cargo surveyor data showed.

Market participants are counting on rising exports and seasonally slower production to pull down Malaysia's inventory levels. Stocks reached a record 2.63 million tonnes in December but have been gradually easing since then, dropping to 2.44 million tonnes by the end of February.

In other markets, Brent crude rose towards $108 a barrel on Wednesday, recovering from a three-month low, on hopes the United States would continue with its stimulus programme and that Europe would reach a last-minute deal to bail out Cyprus.

In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for May delivery gained 0.3 percent in late Asian trade. The most-active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodities Exchange lost 0.1 percent.


Regional Equities - March 20 (Reuters) - Main Southeast Asian stocks ended weaker on Wednesday, led by Thailand on fears that the financial crisis in Cyprus could spread to other European countries after a bailout plan for the island nation fell into disarray.

However, losses were capped by late buying on hopes Cyprus might avert a financial meltdown as its leaders held talks to prevent a crisis after the country's parliament rejected the terms of the European Union bailout.

Thailand fell for a third straight session, losing 1.6 percent to hit its lowest since March 4. It has fallen 3.4 percent in the week. Banks lead the fall with a 4.2 percent drop in Kasikornbank PCL and 3.3 percent loss in Siam Commercial Bank PCL

The Philippines lost 0.1 percent, led by holding firms to a near seven-week low, falling for an eighth straight session. It has lost 6.5 percent since hitting an all-time high of 6,867.10 on March 11.

Singapore lost 0.6 percent to a two-week low, led by a 2.3 percent fall in Singapore Telecommunications Ltd.

However, Malaysia gained 0.4 percent, while Vietnam jumped 1.4 percent to a one-month high on rate cut hopes and credit growth.

Indonesia edged up 0.2 percent to a one-week high.