Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Trader's highlight


DJI - NEW YORK, Nov 19 (Reuters) - World stock markets and commodities surged on Monday, recovering some of the previous week's sharp losses as traders focused on politicians' comments indicating readiness to compromise to avoid the U.S. "fiscal cliff."

U.S. lawmakers indicated compromises were possible in negotiations to avert $600 billion in tax increases and spending cuts due to start in January - the "fiscal cliff" that threatens to send the U.S. economy back into recession.

Legislators from both parties have indicated in recent days compromise was possible on key issues like raising tax rates for wealthy individuals, which previously seemed unlikely.

European Central Bank policymaker Joerg Asmussen said at the weekend that the ministers were likely to agree to the deal and leave resolution of a longer-term debt stabilization plan for Greece, which is at the heart of a disagreement with the IMF, until later


NYMEX - NEW YORK, Nov 19 (Reuters) - U.S. crude rose 2.7 percent on Monday on optimism that legislators will reach a deal to tackle the nation's fiscal crunch, with additional support coming from escalating tensions in the Middle East.

CBOT Soybean - Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures rallied on technical buying after last week's near-five-month low, and on spillover from higher commodity and equity markets amid signs of progress on resolving a looming U.S. fiscal crisis.
  • Additional support stemmed from news that top global soy buyer China will temporarily halt regular soybean sales from state reserves as Beijing starts a stockpiling program. 
  • USDA reported export inspections of U.S. soybeans in the latest week at 61.992 million bushels, above a range of trade expectations for 53 million to 59 million bushels.
  • Soyoil posted the biggest percentage gains in the CBOT soy complex, supported by USDA confirming sales of 20,000 tonnes of U.S. soyoil to unknown destinations for 2012/13 delivery.
  • Rally limited by expectations for a bumper South American soybean crop in early 2013. Argentina's main farm areas benefited from good weather in the last week, helping to advance soy planting after months of heavy rain and flooding.
  • Weekly data from the U.S. CFTC showed large speculators cut their net long in soybeans by 29 percent in the week ended Nov. 13, the biggest percentage drop in more than 10 months, to a net long of 95,554 contracts.
FCPO - SINGAPORE, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rose to their highest in two weeks on Monday, tracking gains in soybeans and rival soybean oil, although caution ahead of export data kept gains in check.

China, the world's top soy buyer, will temporarily halt regular state sales of soy from this week as Beijing starts a stockpiling programme for the oilseed, an official think tank said on Monday. 

The move came after heavy crush losses and weak demand that prompted Chinese buyers to cancel purchases of some 600,000 tonnes of U.S. soybeans over the past weeks.

Dalian soybean oil prices rose as analysts said some crushers could use a possible shortage of supply as an excuse to start hiking soy product prices, a move that could benefit competing palm oil.

Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for Nov. 1 to 15 fell 0.1 percent to 769,087 tonnes from 769,534 tonnes a month ago, cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services said on Friday.Another cargo surveyor, Societe Generale de Surveillance, reported a drop of 1.2 percent in exports for the same period. 

Regional Equities - Nov 19 (Reuters) - Major Southeast Asian stock markets closed flat-to-weaker on thin volumes on Monday as concerns over a Greece debt default weighed on sentiment ahead of a key meeting, despite some optimism the U.S. could overcome an imminent fiscal crunch.

European officials are due to meet on Tuesday and expected to discuss a two-year funding deal for Greece, a view likely to irk the International Monetary Fund, which wants a longer-term solution.

U.S. lawmakers' optimism on reaching a deal to avert the $600 billion "fiscal cliff" helped boost world equities, on hopes the move could prevent sending the world's largest economy back into recession.