Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Trader's highlight

DJI - NEW YORK, March 18 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Monday after a plan to tax bank accounts in Cyprus to help pay for the country's bailout stoked worries that it could threaten the stability of financial institutions in the euro zone.

The move pushed the S&P 500 farther from its 2007 record closing high of 1,565.15 after the index came within striking distance of the level last week.

Financial stocks led the day's decline, with the S&P 500 financial index down 1 percent, following a steep slide in European bank shares. JPMorgan Chase fell 1 percent to $49.51.

Cypriot ministers were trying to revise a plan to seize money from bank deposits before a parliamentary vote on Tuesday that will secure the island's financial rescue or could lead to its default. 

European officials have said the measure is a one-off for a country that accounts for just 0.2 percent of European output. The fear is that savers in larger European countries will become nervous and start withdrawing funds, although there was no immediate sign of that on Monday.

"There are worries about whether there will be any spillover from the Cyprus situation," said Nick Sargen, chief investment officer at Fort Washington Investment Advisors in Cincinnati, which oversees more than $45 billion.

"Will authorities be able to convince markets that this proposal is only for this unique situation, for such a small country where the banking system is more of a tax shelter? If they can’t, that might cause new concerns about Europe’s banking system."

The Dow Jones industrial average slipped 62.05 points, or 0.43 percent, to 14,452.06 at the close. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index shed 8.60 points, or 0.55 percent, to 1,552.10. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 11.48 points, or 0.35 percent, to close at 3,237.59.


Brent and Crude Oils - NEW YORK, March 18 (Reuters) - Brent crude oil slipped to near $109 a barrel on Monday after touching a three-month low, as a plan to tax bank accounts in debt-laden Cyprus sparked fears of further turmoil in the euro zone.

Prices fell as low as $107.78 a barrel in early trade, a level last hit in mid-December, but recovered after stronger employment data in the United States bolstered the outlook for energy demand.

Saudi Arabia's top oil official also said the current price won't hurt the economy, indicating the world's largest crude exporter sees little need to add additional supplies.

Brent crude settled down 31 cents at $109.51 per barrel after trading between $107.78 and $109.83 during the session.

U.S. oil fell to a low of $91.76 a barrel before reversing losses, settling 29 cents higher at $93.74 a barrel.

Oil markets will remain volatile for the next few days as investors watch for any spillover of the developments in Cyprus to other euro zone nations, analysts said.

Cypriot ministers were trying to revise a plan to seize money from bank deposits before a parliamentary vote on Tuesday that will secure the island's financial rescue or could lead to its default, with reverberations across the euro zone.

"Although Cyprus is small, there was some concern that it was being made a test case for policy," said Tim Evans at Citi Futures Perspective in New York.

"The strong initial reaction has policy makers backpedaling from the deposit tax idea, but it may be hard for markets to forget the risk."

Gold rose to a two-week high above $1,600 an ounce and the U.S. dollar firmed as investors sought out safer assets. A stronger U.S. currency can weaken dollar-priced commodities like oil as they become more expensive for overseas buyers. 


LOSSES STEMMED
Further losses in oil were stopped by expectations of a stronger economy in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer, and comments from Saudi Arabia's top energy official that oil prices near current levels won't hurt demand.

Almost all U.S. states began 2013 with lower unemployment rates than they had at the start of 2012, according to Labor Department data.

Saudi Arabian oil minister Ali al-Naimi said current oil prices will have no impact on growth in Asia. The region's biggest economies, including China, have struggled with rising energy costs in their efforts to boost growth.

Worries of an escalation in a standoff between the West and Iran over Tehran's disputed nuclear program could also help ensure prices do not fall much further. Concerns of supply disruption from the Middle East have kept Brent largely above $100 a barrel since early 2011.

In Libya, armed clashes broke out at an oil field belonging to Libya's Waha Oil on Monday, where protesters seeking jobs had been blocking the site entrance for the last eight days.



CBOT Soybean Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade fell for a fifth straight session on Monday, hitting a one-month low as export demand for U.S. soybeans slowed and the South American soy harvest expanded, traders said.

* Additional pressure spread across the commodities sector after an unusual bank bailout proposal for Cyprus threatened fresh euro zone turmoil, pushing traders to dump commodities and buy gold as a hedge.

·         USDA reported export inspections of U.S. soybeans in the latest week at 8.927 million bushels, below a range of trade expectations for 13 million to 27 million bushels.

·         Long liquidation noted ahead of USDA's prospective   plantings and quarterly stocks reports on March 28.
 
·         Soybean spot basis bids fell as much as 10 cents per   bushel at processing plants around the U.S. Midwest early on Monday amid poor profit margins and a slowdown in the soybean crush, dealers said.
 
·         Freezing temperatures hit southern Buenos Aires over the  weekend and may have hurt some late-planted soybeans, but the   extent of damage will not be known for a week or so, a local  forecaster said.



BMD CPO - SINGAPORE, March 18 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures edged lower on Monday, as traders turned cautious after a radical bailout proposal for Cyprus rattled investors and triggered a broad-based decline in commodities and financial markets.

Euro zone finance ministers asked Cyprus savers to forfeit a portion of their deposits in return for a 10 billion euro ($13 billion) bailout for the island, sparking fears of fresh turmoil in the euro zone and worries about global demand.

"It seems like Europe is back to the headlines for the wrong reasons," said Ker Chung Yang, investment analyst with Phillip Futures in Singapore. "We have probably seen the last of the rally last week, and this week could be the beginning of a downturn or corrections in the commodities market."

The benchmark June contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 1.4 percent to close at 2,383 ringgit ($761) per tonne, also its low for the day. Prices traded in a tight range between 2,383 to 2,415 ringgit.

Total traded volume stood at 27,137 lots of 25 tonnes each, slightly higher than the usual 25,000 lots.

Palm oil futures also continued to come under pressure from a weak soy market, which is suffering from poor U.S. demand and higher South American supply, losing 1.4 percent last week.

But seasonally lower output in Malaysia may help ease palm oil stocks and support prices, especially after cargo surveyor data on Friday showed firm export demand.

Malaysian palm oil shipments for the first half of the month were slightly better compared to the same period last month, with cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale de Surveillance reporting a 0.2 and 4.6 percent increase respectively.

In other markets, crude oil dropped to below $109 a barrel on Monday as stock markets tumbled and the dollar strengthened on the bank bailout proposal for Cyprus.

In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for May delivery lost 0.8 percent in late Asian trade. The most-active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodities Exchange also dropped 0.4 percent.


Regional Equities - March 18 (Reuters) - Southeast Asian stocks ended weaker on Monday, following Asian peers as nervous investors shifted to safer heavens after a radical bailout plan for Cyprus dented the appetite for risky assets globally.

Cyprus and international lenders agreed at the weekend that savers in the island's outsized banking system would take a hit in return for the offer of $13.07 billion in aid, breaking with the earlier European Union practice that depositors' savings were sacrosanct and raising fears it could set a precedent for future euro zone bail outs.

The Philippine lost 1.8 percent to a near five-week low of 6,536.18 with a 4.3 percent loss in SM Investment Corp

Thailand  fell 0.4 percent to 1,591.65 from a 19-year high of 1,598.13 hit in the previous session, led by a 2 percent fall in PTT Global Chemical Pcl (PTTGC)

Malaysia , the region's worst performer so far this year, fell 0.4 percent to a near four-week low of 1,621.36. Kuala Lumpur has seen the highest foreign inflow in the region, data showed on Monday.

Indonesia , the region's best performer in terms of foreign inflows, fell 0.3 percent to 4,802.83.
Jakarta-based analysts said concerns over the Cyprus bailout and a weak regional market, along with high domestic inflation dragged the market down.

Vietnam , the region's best performer and the smallest bourse, edged down 0.5 percent, while Singapore fell 0.9 percent to a near two-week low.