Tuesday, April 2, 2013

Bloomberg - Raw-Material Bull Market Fading as Supply Expands: Commodities


At a time when U.S. equities are trading near a record and the dollar is having its best start in three years, commodities will finish this quarter little changed from where they were at the end of 2012.
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI gauge of 24 raw materials will be at 644 at the end of June, 1.4 percent lower than now, according to the median of nine investor and analyst predictions compiled by Bloomberg. The index rose 1 percent this year, the worst start since 2009. Gains in arabica coffee, silver and nickel will be offset by declines in cotton, crude and natural gas, analyst forecasts show. Investors had $132 billion tracking commodity indexes at the end of February, Barclays Plc estimates.