Monday, May 13, 2013

Trader's highlight


DJI - NEW YORK, May 10 (Reuters) - The Dow and S&P 500 ended at record highs on Friday, and stocks posted a third consecutive week of gains as a rise in Google and other technology shares offset a slide in energy stocks.

Stocks have risen on the Federal Reserve's accommodative monetary stance and some encouraging corporate earnings, but analysts said momentum could wane without further positive signs.

"I think it's going to hard to maintain these levels in the short term," said Natalie Trunow, chief investment officer of equities at Calvert Investment Management, which has about $13 billion in assets.

"There are not a lot of positive catalysts to keep it going," she said, noting that spending cuts by the federal government could pressure the economy in the near term.

Oil prices tumbled as the U.S. dollar hit a 4 1/2-year high against the yen and the dollar index was on track for its strongest week against other major currencies in 10 months. A strong dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback, such as gold and oil, more expensive for foreign investors, pressuring shares of energy and basic materials companies.

The Dow Jones industrial average  was up 35.87 points, or 0.24 percent, at 15,118.49. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index  was up 7.03 points, or 0.43 percent, at 1,633.70. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 27.41 points, or 0.80 percent, at 3,436.58.

The S&P 500 is up 14.6 percent for the year. For the week, the Dow rose 1 percent, the S&P 500 1.2 percent and the Nasdaq 1.7 percent.


CBOT Soybean -  May 10 (Reuters) - Benchmark July soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade  fell 0.7 percent on Friday, halting a three-day rally, after the U.S. government forecast that U.S. soybean stocks would more than double in 2013/14, traders said.
  • USDA projected U.S. 2013/14 soybean ending stocks at 265 million bushels, more than double the 125 million in 2012/13.
  • In its first official outlook for the new crop year, USDA pegged U.S. 2013/14 soybean production at a record-large 3.390 billion bushels based on an average trend-line yield of 44.5 bushels per acre.
  • Front-month May soybeans and May soymeal , which expire next week, continued to gain against back months on spreads, supported by scarce U.S. old-crop soybean supplies and firm cash markets.
  • Soyoil gained against soymeal on oil/meal spreads after USDA lowered its forecast of U.S. 2012/13 soyoil ending stocks while leaving its soymeal stocks forecast unchanged.
  • Drier weather this weekend into early next week will boost U.S. corn plantings that have fallen to the slowest pace in nearly three decades. But more showers are expected next weekend.
  • For the week, July soybeans rose 0.8 percent, their second straight rise. July soymeal rose 0.1 percent and July soyoil fell 0.1 percent.

Oils - NEW YORK May 10 (Reuters) - Brent and U.S. crude oil ended slightly down on Friday, after trading sharply lower for much of the session, rebounding as the U.S. dollar weakened and on late news reports that more oil would flow through BP Plc's  Whiting, Indiana, refinery.

Earlier in the day, the euro had dropped to a one-month low against the dollar on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut back on it monetary easing program.

But the dollar weakened toward the end of the day. The U.S. dollar index eased to 83.151 after reaching an earlier high of 83.438.

Crude oil prices are denominated in U.S. dollars, and when the value of the currency sinks, prices rise to offset the weakness.

"The dollar has given back a fairly decent portion of its gains," said Brian LaRose, technical analyst with United-ICAP in Jersey City.

Brent crude oil  settled 56 cents lower at $103.91 per barrel after trading as low as $101.56.

U.S. crude oil futures  ended the day 35 cents lower at $96.04 per barrel after trading more than $3 lower at $93.37.


BMD CPO - KUALA LUMPUR, May 10 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures climbed to their highest in two weeks on Friday as stocks eased below the key 2-million-tonne mark in the world's No.2 producer, but gains were capped by a surprise fall in exports in the first ten days of May.

Stocks data from industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board showed inventory levels at the end of April down 11.3 percent to 1.93 million tonnes against the previous month's 2.17 million tonnes.

The decline exceeded expectations of a fall to 2.04 million tonnes, in a Reuters poll.

But exports of palm oil products for May 1-10 slid 16.7 percent to 380,047 tonnes compared to the same period in April, as smaller shipments of the crude and refined grade weighed. Demand from Europe and China was also sluggish.

Another cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance reported a steeper 18.4 percent drop late on Friday. 

"Traders were reacting to stocks falling below 2 million tonnes, so we see a strong market today. But lower exports for the first 10 days may erase some gains," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur.

The benchmark July contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose as high as 2,334 ringgit per tonne, a level last seen on April 26. It closed at 2,320 ringgit ($777), up 1.4 percent.

Positive investor sentiment helped palm post a 3 percent weekly gain, its biggest in seven.

Total traded volumes stood at 29,844 lots of 25 tonnes each, slightly lower than the average 35,000 lots.
Prices dipped to a near 5-month low on Monday after the ringgit  surged against the dollar following the ruling coalition's win in Malaysia's general elections. It later rose on bargain hunting and expectations of a drop in inventories.

In other markets, Brent crude oil slid below $104 a barrel on Friday as rising supplies and doubts over China's economy outweighed stronger signs of a U.S. recovery.

In vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for July delivery was almost flat in late Asian trade. The most-active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodities Exchange rose 2.1 percent.