Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Trader's highlight

DJI - NEW YORK, March 12 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Tuesday, breaking a seven-session string of gains as investors pulled back from technology and financials, but the Dow eked out the smallest of gains to finish at another all-time closing high.

The Dow also hit another lifetime intraday high, while the S&P 500 remains within reach of its all-time closing high of 1,565.15, set on Oct. 9, 2007.

The market's rally in recent months has driven the Dow up 10.3 percent for the year and lifted the S&P 500 by 8.9 percent for 2013 so far. Signs of improvement in the economy and the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing have helped to propel the advance.

"You have a little bit of buyers' exhaustion at this juncture. We've had this move that has been startlingly smooth in terms of progression of advances, both since the beginning of the year and certainly over the last six to seven trading sessions," said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia.

"Investors are waiting for this collective correction ... for some time, and it's teasing more and more buyers out of the market."

The Dow Jones industrial average rose just 2.77 points, or 0.02 percent, to 14,450.06, another record close. Earlier, the Dow climbed to a lifetime intraday high of 14,478.80.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dipped 3.74 points, or 0.24 percent, to finish at 1,552.48 - about 13 points below its record closing high.

The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 10.55 points, or 0.32 percent, to close at 3,242.32.


Brent Crude Oil - NEW YORK, March 12 (Reuters) - Brent crude oil fell on Tuesday after seesawing with the euro and the dollar, and as OPEC's trimmed forecast for U.S. and euro zone economic growth also applied pressure.

Brent April crude fell 57 cents, or 0.52 percent, to settle at $109.65 a barrel, having traded from $109.30 to $111.20.


CBOT Soybean Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade fell on technical selling and pressure from the advancing South American harvest, traders said.

 
·         Concerns eased about sales of Brazilian soybeans being  switched to U.S. origins after no new sales of old-crop U.S. soybeans were announced by USDA.

·         The soybean harvest in Brazil's top soy state Mato Grosso is 75 percent complete, according to AgRural consultancy.

·         Nearby CBOT soybean contracts lost ground to back months as traders took profits by unwinding May/July and July/November spreads.
 
·         Cash basis bids for soybeans shipped by barge to the U.S.   Gulf were steady to weaker at midday on Tuesday, although nearby  values remained at a premium to deferred bids.
 
·         Soybean prices could be elevated well into April by transport problems in key exporter Brazil but could then come under pressure from possible record U.S. soybean plantings -  oilseeds analysts Oil World. 
 
·         Wetter weather is expected in Argentina this week and a frost was possible, but it should occur south of the big soybean areas, a U.S. meteorologist said.
 
·         Analyst UkrAgroConsult said Ukraine could increase its  rapeseed harvest by about two-thirds and raise its soybean output by 17 percent in 2013.

 
·         CBOT reported five March soybean deliveries, one soymeal  delivery and one soyoil delivery.

BMD CPO - SINGAPORE, March 12 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures edged lower on Tuesday, tracking weaker overseas soybean oil markets, although a fall in palm oil stockpiles helped keep losses in check.
U.S. soybeans dropped on Tuesday after data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed slower export demand for the oilseed, also weighing on soybean oil markets.

U.S. soyoil for May delivery  edged down 0.8 percent in late Asian trade, while the most active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 1.1 percent, extending losses to its lowest since July 2010.

"The palm market is weaker on the back of CBOT and Dalian soybean oil but it should be supported at 2,400 ringgit," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.

"Production should go down further and exports should be slightly better than last month, so we expect to see further drawdown in stocks."

By Tuesday's close, the benchmark May contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had inched down 1.6 percent to 2,412 ringgit ($775) per tonne. Prices traded in a range between 2,406 and 2,442 ringgit.

Total traded volume stood at 39,868 lots of 25 tonnes each, higher than the usual 25,000 lots.

But despite short-term weakness, analysts expect prices to pick up, as palm oil stocks continue to ease on lower production and a demand recovery.

"We continue to expect crude palm oil prices to trade higher in the coming months. After the current low-yield season, palm oil closing stocks are expected to continue to trend lower on demand recovery, boosted by an abnormally high discount to soybean oil," Malaysia's Affin Investment Bank said in a research note on Tuesday.

Palm oil stocks in the world's second-largest producer of the tropical oil fell to 2.44 million tonnes in February from 2.58 million in January, industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board said on Monday.

Cargo surveyors reported growth in exports to be almost flat for the March 1-10 period from a month ago, and traders will be looking out for export data for the first half of the month, due on Friday, to further gauge the demand trend.

In other markets, Brent futures slipped below $110 a barrel on Tuesday on worries of a slowdown in demand growth in China and the United States, two of the world's biggest oil consumers, with a rise in the dollar weighing further on the market. 


Regional Equities - BANGKOK, March 12 (Reuters) - Southeast Asian stock markets ended mostly flat to weaker on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains in line with Asian equities, with Thai benchmark index retreating from a 19-year peak and the Philippine main index extending losses for a second session.

Among recent outperformers that led the declines were Malaysia's Axiata Group Bhd , Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. and Thailand's LPN Development Pcl

Bangkok's SET index was down 0.06 percent at 1,576.68. It rose in morning trade to 1,586.41, the highest level since January 1994. The market saw a net foreign buying of $44.41 million, stock exchange data showed.

The Thai baht  hit a 28-month high against the dollar on Tuesday, fuelled by strong demand from some offshore hedge funds. As of 1029 GMT, the Thai currency was at 29.60, compared with Monday's close of 29.72.

The Philippine index fell 0.4 percent to 6,786.42, after Monday's 0.29 percent loss. Malaysia's benchmark index edged down 0.09 percent to 1,656.54 as retail and local institutions were net sellers, according to stock exchange data.